Sharks · Player

Ivar Stenberg

45-60 points and a real Calder candidate. The only prospect who plays in the NHL all year.

Status Signed ELC July 3, 2026 (3yr / $1.075M AAV); drafted No. 2 overall June 26; expected to make the NHL roster per Professor Hockey's dev-camp read

#41
Pine card · 2026-27

-0.2

Pine Net Rating v0.1: goals above replacement over 8 games. 99 of 200 five-on-five minutes; his rank prints at 200.

Position
L
Number
#41
Shoots
L
Age
19
Size
5'11", 185 lb
Ice time
15:51 a game
Games
8
Pool rank
No. 1
Wheeler top 100
~2
Projected
NHL, top six
Pieces here
52

2026-27 regular season: 8 games, 127 minutes.

The number on each bar is his percentile among league forwards with 200 or more minutes at 5-on-5 (special teams: 30 or more minutes on the unit); each block prints the size of that group. Higher is better on every bar; chances against are inverted so 90% always reads well.

Individual offense
Goalsall situations
rank withheld: under 200 minutes at 5-on-5
2n/a
Assistsall situations
rank withheld: under 200 minutes at 5-on-5
4n/a
Pointsall situations
rank withheld: under 200 minutes at 5-on-5
6n/a
Expected goalsall situations
rank withheld: under 200 minutes at 5-on-5
2.0n/a
Individual defense
Blocked shotsall situations
rank withheld: under 200 minutes at 5-on-5
2n/a
Penalties drawn minus takenall situations
rank withheld: under 200 minutes at 5-on-5
-1n/a
On the ice, offense
Chances for, per 605-on-5
rank withheld: under 200 minutes at 5-on-5
1.33n/a
Chance share, on ice minus off5-on-5
rank withheld: under 200 minutes at 5-on-5
-9.0n/a
Power play chances for, per 60power play, 22 min
rank withheld: under 30 minutes on the unit
9.09n/a
On the ice, defense
Chances against, per 605-on-5
rank withheld: under 200 minutes at 5-on-5
2.61n/a
Penalty kill chances against, per 60penalty kill, 0 min
rank withheld: under 30 minutes on the unit
0.00n/a
Difficulty not measured. Quality of competition and teammates has no free public source this pipe can reach (Natural Stat Trick blocks scripts); no paid source was taken on, a 2026-09-12 call.
Contract $1.075M cap hit · 3 years left · RFA July 2029. PuckPedia and CapWages, via the cap sheet.

Sources: NHL.com for the roster, bio and counting line; MoneyPuck for expected goals, on-ice chances, blocks and penalties; PuckPedia and CapWages for the contract. Updated 2026-10-19. The rating, the forecast and the value line are this site's own, from public data, with the method published.

On the record

Called Shots →
OpenJun 24, 2026

Ivar Stenberg is an NHL player in 2026-27, full stop, with rookie output around 50-plus points.

Held upMay 19, 2026

Take Stenberg over Chase Reid at No. 2 overall.

MissedAug 21, 2026

At least one San Jose player who has never appeared in an NHL regular-season game dresses for all four of the Sharks' 2026-27 preseason games.

OpenSep 1, 2026

Kiefer Sherwood averages under 1:45 a night on the power play across San Jose's first 20 games of 2026-27.

OpenSep 8, 2026

Collin Graf is not among San Jose's top eight forwards in total power-play time on ice across the club's first 20 regular-season games of 2026-27.

OpenSep 12, 2026

Ivar Stenberg appears in 11 or more of San Jose's first 13 regular-season games in 2026-27.

OpenSep 16, 2026

Will Smith finishes the 2026-27 NHL regular season with an on-ice goal share at five-on-five below 52 percent for San Jose.

Written about him

Stenberg had a hand in five of San Jose's last six power-play goals
Player deep dive

Stenberg had a hand in five of San Jose's last six power-play goals

Five games after the first look, Stenberg's points all come on the power play, his five-on-five minutes have shrunk, and his top speed has moved from the bottom fifth of the league to the middle.

Dom CahillOct 22, 20265 min read
Stenberg scored on the power play, and his ice-time rank kept moving
Prospects

Stenberg scored on the power play, and his ice-time rank kept moving

Ivar Stenberg had four power-play points in four games while his ice time rose and fell with them. Andre Gasseau passes Carson Wetsch on the prospect board, and Luca Cagnoni sat for a night.

Dom CahillOct 20, 20261 min read
San Jose has held its own for three games. One line has not.
Weekly review

San Jose has held its own for three games. One line has not.

San Jose's improved five-on-five play has left the Stenberg-Misa-Sherwood combination behind as the road trip reaches its first back-to-back.

Dom CahillOct 18, 20265 min read
San Jose changed its first line on Monday, and the other three with it
Lines

San Jose changed its first line on Monday, and the other three with it

San Jose practiced on October 12 with four new forward lines: Chernyshov-Celebrini-Smith, Stenberg-Misa-Sherwood, Marchment-Wennberg-Toffoli and Ostapchuk between Graf and either Dellandrea or Gaudette, with Barclay Goodrow off the ice with an illness and questionable for Tuesday's game against Boston. The defense pairs did not change. Ivar Stenberg, 19, replaced Chernyshov on the first power-play unit; San Jose is 2 for 13 on the power play and 0 for 7 over its last three games. Warsofsky said the club is not playing in the offensive zone enough to create offense. At five-on-five San Jose has scored 7 goals and allowed 13 through five games, with 34.3 percent of MoneyPuck's expected goals, 31st of 32 clubs; last season's full-year share was 47.6 percent. Boston, 4-2-0, has allowed 7 five-on-five goals in six games.

Grant LombardOct 13, 20264 min read
McKinney had the points, but Stenberg's minutes carry more weight
Prospects

McKinney had the points, but Stenberg's minutes carry more weight

Cole McKinney had five points in two Michigan games. Ivar Stenberg's climb to fourth of twelve San Jose forwards in ice time is the thing to hold onto, and the board's one move put Luca Cagnoni fifth.

Dom CahillOct 13, 20261 min read
Stenberg got McDavid's line before he got a five-on-five point
Player deep dive

Stenberg got McDavid's line before he got a five-on-five point

Stenberg's role grew before his five-on-five results improved, with McDavid minutes, average ground covered and a chance share that follows the Sharks.

Dom CahillOct 12, 20265 min read
Wennberg and Trouba get the other team's top line at SAP Center
Analysis

Wennberg and Trouba get the other team's top line at SAP Center

Wennberg's line drew the heavier top-line matchup at home, while Celebrini's line took more defensive-zone faceoffs; practice this week kept Allan and Trouba together and moved Stenberg's line.

Dom CahillOct 8, 20265 min read
The prospect who got real work in week one was Cagnoni, at No. 6
Prospects

The prospect who got real work in week one was Cagnoni, at No. 6

Luca Cagnoni played 20:33 a game and scored the opening-night overtime winner while Ivar Stenberg had one assist in three games. All thirty rows on the Sharks prospect board held for September 29 through October 5.

Dom CahillOct 6, 20261 min read
Stenberg had five preseason points, then none against Vegas's stars
Prospects

Stenberg had five preseason points, then none against Vegas's stars

Ivar Stenberg scored five preseason points against two depleted lineups and none against the full Vegas lineup on September 26. All thirty rows on the Sharks prospect board held for September 22 through 28.

Dom CahillSep 29, 20261 min read
Stenberg scored three, and Celebrini's line had the puck
Preseason

Stenberg scored three, and Celebrini's line had the puck

Stenberg scored three against Anaheim, while Celebrini's line paired the Sharks' smallest five-on-five workloads with on-ice attempt counts of 16-2, 17-3 and 15-3.

Dom CahillSep 25, 20264 min read
Ivar Stenberg played every situation San Jose had in his first NHL exhibition
Preseason

Ivar Stenberg played every situation San Jose had in his first NHL exhibition

Ivar Stenberg's first NHL exhibition brought 16:18 at five-on-five, a primary power-play assist and a shootout goal against an inexperienced Vegas lineup.

Dom CahillSep 23, 20264 min read
Ivar Stenberg And His Brother Scored One Goal And Two Assists Each In Their First Season Against Swedish Men
Season preview

Ivar Stenberg And His Brother Scored One Goal And Two Assists Each In Their First Season Against Swedish Men

Otto Stenberg played 23 Swedish Hockey League games for Frolunda at 17 and scored one goal and two assists. Ivar Stenberg played 25 for the same club at the same age and scored one goal and two assists. In their second seasons Otto had six points in 31 games and Ivar had 33 in 43. Otto, a first-round pick in 2023, spent 2025-26 split between St. Louis and Springfield. San Jose has cut its preseason from six games to four and has 19 days between the Rookie Faceoff and the October 1 opener to decide where Ivar starts.

Dom CahillSep 12, 20265 min read
Ivar Stenberg, the deep dive: the models love him as much as the scouts, and he is chasing the Sedins
Prospect Deep Dive

Ivar Stenberg, the deep dive: the models love him as much as the scouts, and he is chasing the Sedins

What the scouting reports leave out about Ivar Stenberg

Grab Some PineJun 27, 20266 min read
The forecast, redone: Stenberg is an NHL player, and it changes the picture
Sharks Forecast, v2

The forecast, redone: Stenberg is an NHL player, and it changes the picture

Redone, with Stenberg in the lineup where he belongs

Grab Some PineJun 24, 20267 min read

Also appears in

Misa is shooting again, and the gap between him and his team has grown

Oct 21, 2026

Marchment has a third of San Jose's power play after two-thirds of Columbus's

Oct 20, 2026

San Jose won five-on-five by its widest margin yet, and lost on the kill

Oct 20, 2026

San Jose has led by two in the third four times and won none in regulation

Oct 18, 2026

San Jose edged Boston on five-on-five chances and still lost 6-3

Oct 14, 2026

Edmonton got one shot when McDavid met Wennberg's line, and seven when he didn't

Oct 11, 2026

St. Louis outscored San Jose's power play and lost in overtime anyway

Oct 9, 2026

The Kings missed the net with their best chances. San Jose is 2-0.

Oct 4, 2026

The Sharks won their opener on special teams and three-on-three

Oct 2, 2026

San Jose's last exhibition reused five units, but not the pair beside Orlov

Oct 1, 2026

Celebrini is the captain, and 31 of his teammates are older

Sep 25, 2026

Will Smith's old linemate got eight years on the last day they existed

Sep 19, 2026

San Jose went 2-0 in the rookie tournament, and then Grier read the injury list

Sep 18, 2026

Sam Dickinson Was Better Against The Best Forwards He Faced Than Against The Worst Ones

Sep 13, 2026

Edmonton Spent Six Seasons Taking Ice Time Away From Darnell Nurse

Sep 10, 2026

San Jose Needs Sixty Six Goals And Its Goaltender Can Find Half Of Them

Sep 9, 2026

Six Of Igor Chernyshov's Twenty Eight Games Ended With No Shot On Goal

Sep 9, 2026

Collin Graf Scored More Shorthanded Than He Did On The Power Play

Sep 8, 2026

Tyler Toffoli Lost Eleven Goals Last Season And Not One Of Them Came Off The Power Play

Sep 6, 2026

Of Alexander Wennberg's Twenty And A Half Minutes A Night, Five And A Half Came On Special Teams

Sep 4, 2026

San Jose Drew Its Rookie Line At One Hundred Games And Then Crossed It Once

Sep 2, 2026

Almost Half Of Dmitry Orlov's Points Came On A Power Play He Is Projected To Lose

Sep 2, 2026

If Quentin Musty Makes The Sharks Out Of Camp, It Will Be For A Skill He Has Not Shown

Aug 27, 2026

San Jose Has Four Preseason Games And Nineteen Men Who Can Play Two Of Them

Aug 21, 2026

The Open Job On San Jose's Power Play Is Not The One Luca Cagnoni Is Being Given

Aug 19, 2026

Every Sharks Point Total Is Reasonable Until You Add Them Up

Aug 14, 2026

San Jose Called Up Its Forwards In A Different Order Than The Barracuda Scored Them

Aug 12, 2026

Mike Grier Bought The House

Jul 24, 2026

'By A Massive Margin': Auditing Hockey's Loudest Pipeline Claim

Jul 23, 2026

Nobody Has A Seat For Collin Graf

Jul 22, 2026

Grier pays the minimum tab and guards the window: my July 1 forecast

Jun 30, 2026

Keaton Verhoeff, the deep dive: he matched a young Cale Makar's freshman line two years younger

Jun 27, 2026

Sharks top 20 Calder-eligible prospects: Pohlkamp belongs near the top, and two dark horses lurk

Jun 27, 2026

Re-judging the Eklund trade: the data says they sold a rising player at the bottom of his luck

Jun 25, 2026

Chase Reid, scouted as a player: the NAHL-to-No.2 climb, the comps stress-tested, and when he actually helps

Jun 19, 2026

The draft-day playbook: decide everything now, react to nothing later

Jun 11, 2026

The contention clock: when the window actually opens, and the gap list to get there

Jun 9, 2026

What the Sharks should do at No. 2: take Reid, and the one move that's even better

Jun 2, 2026