
-0.7
Pine Net Rating v0.1: goals above replacement over 8 games. 108 of 200 five-on-five minutes; his rank prints at 200.
2026-27 regular season: 8 games, 128 minutes.
2027-28: +4.8 (range -15.3 to +25.0). 2031-32: -1.2 (range -34.6 to +32.3). No dollar line yet: market value waits on a league contract table.
The number on each bar is his percentile among league forwards with 200 or more minutes at 5-on-5 (special teams: 30 or more minutes on the unit); each block prints the size of that group. Higher is better on every bar; chances against are inverted so 90% always reads well.
Sources: NHL.com for the roster, bio and counting line; MoneyPuck for expected goals, on-ice chances, blocks and penalties; PuckPedia and CapWages for the contract. Updated 2026-10-19. The rating, the forecast and the value line are this site's own, from public data, with the method published.
Ty Dellandrea's time on ice per game for San Jose in 2026-27 finishes below 13:00, down from 14:11 in 46 games in 2025-26.
Kiefer Sherwood averages under 1:45 a night on the power play across San Jose's first 20 games of 2026-27.
Mason Marchment finishes the 2026-27 regular season with an even-strength offensive zone start share below 60 percent for San Jose.
Tyler Toffoli scores fewer than 15 even-strength goals for San Jose in the 2026-27 regular season.
Igor Chernyshov averages more than 2.00 shots on goal per game across San Jose's first 20 regular-season games of 2026-27.
San Jose's penalty kill finishes the 2026-27 regular season ranked higher among the 32 NHL clubs than San Jose's power play.
Ivar Stenberg appears in 11 or more of San Jose's first 13 regular-season games in 2026-27.

Mason Marchment's power-play share and offensive-zone starts have fallen in San Jose while his skating distance per minute and average shot speed have risen.

San Jose practiced on October 12 with four new forward lines: Chernyshov-Celebrini-Smith, Stenberg-Misa-Sherwood, Marchment-Wennberg-Toffoli and Ostapchuk between Graf and either Dellandrea or Gaudette, with Barclay Goodrow off the ice with an illness and questionable for Tuesday's game against Boston. The defense pairs did not change. Ivar Stenberg, 19, replaced Chernyshov on the first power-play unit; San Jose is 2 for 13 on the power play and 0 for 7 over its last three games. Warsofsky said the club is not playing in the offensive zone enough to create offense. At five-on-five San Jose has scored 7 goals and allowed 13 through five games, with 34.3 percent of MoneyPuck's expected goals, 31st of 32 clubs; last season's full-year share was 47.6 percent. Boston, 4-2-0, has allowed 7 five-on-five goals in six games.

Mason Marchment scored 45 points in 68 games last season across Seattle and Columbus, and 32 of them came in 39 games after the trade. He also started 69.1 percent of his shifts in the offensive zone, a career high by nine points, and 74.7 percent of them in Columbus. Nobody on San Jose's 2025-26 advanced table, at any games played, reached 69 percent. The bet is that a 31-year-old winger keeps producing on shifts that will start further from the goal he is being paid to score on.

The good half of July 1, a genuine homecoming, and the one question that decides how good.