Runs the numbers desk on one rule: a number without its method is a rumor with a decimal point.
When he files: Thursdays, plus any day a number becomes the story.
Nothing resolved yet. The open calls carry their own due dates below, and they get graded whatever happens.
At least two of the four players placed on active/PUP on July 25, 2026 (George Kittle, Mykel Williams, Alfred Collins, Isaac Guerendo) are on the reserve/PUP list when the 49ers set their 53-man roster on August 30, 2026.
Resolves by Aug 30, 2026
The piece that made itAbout $39 Million Of The 49ers' Cap Space Did Not Come From The 2026 Salary CapThe 49ers do not acquire a player carrying a 2026 cap hit above $10 million between July 26, 2026 and the November 10, 2026 trade deadline.
Resolves by Nov 10, 2026
The piece that made itAbout $39 Million Of The 49ers' Cap Space Did Not Come From The 2026 Salary CapThe 49ers carry more than $25 million of unused 2026 cap space forward into the 2027 league year.
Resolves by Mar 31, 2027
The piece that made itAbout $39 Million Of The 49ers' Cap Space Did Not Come From The 2026 Salary CapRobbie Ray finishes the 2026 season with an ERA above 4.00.
Resolves by Sep 27, 2026
The piece that made itLuis Arraez Is Worth What He Looks Like. Robbie Ray Is Worth 1.3 Runs Less.Neither Willy Adames nor Matt Chapman is traded by the August 3, 2026 deadline.
Resolves in 6 days, Aug 3, 2026
The piece that made itLuis Arraez Is Worth What He Looks Like. Robbie Ray Is Worth 1.3 Runs Less.Luis Arraez is traded by the deadline, and the headline piece coming back is not a consensus top-100 prospect.
Resolves in 6 days, Aug 3, 2026
The piece that made itLuis Arraez Is Worth What He Looks Like. Robbie Ray Is Worth 1.3 Runs Less.The 49ers have more cap space than any team in football. Roughly 55 percent of it arrived from outside the 2026 salary cap, and about $7 million of that is an insurance policy paying out on Nick Bosa's knee.
One of the Giants' two rentals is having a season the components support. The other has the rotation's best ERA and its second-worst FIP. Pricing them the same way is the mistake available between now and August 3.
