Sharks
Kesselring, the power-play question

Kesselring's power-play efficiency in Utah: a functional PP2 with a PP1 weapon attached

GS
Grab Some PineJun 18, 20263 min read
Every call on this site goes on a public ledger and gets graded. The misses stay up.
Kesselring's power-play efficiency in Utah: a functional PP2 with a PP1 weapon attached

The right narrow question is not "can he run a power play," but "what did his second-unit power-play role actually produce." Here is the verified answer from MoneyPuck's 5-on-4 splits for 2024-25, and the headline is that the role was small but the efficiency was real.

The PP2 line, 2024-25 Utah (5-on-4)#

MeasureKesselringRead
Power-play TOI69 min (about 0:50/game)A true second-unit/spot role, not a quarterback's workload
On-ice xGF/606.33A functional, roughly league-average PP rate
On-ice goals (xG)4 goals on 7.29 xGThe unit converted at expectation in his minutes
His individual PP points3 (1 G, 2 primary assists)~2.6 points/60, a solid second-unit rate

Is 6.33 good?#

For context, a strong NHL power-play unit runs 8-to-9 expected goals per 60, league average sits around 6.5-to-7, and the Sharks' own top unit last year ran 7-to-9 with Toffoli leading at 9.29. So Kesselring's 6.33 is not a PP1-elite number, and it was never meant to be: it is a second-unit rate, generated with second-unit linemates, in fifty seconds a night. Judged as what it actually was, a PP2 contribution, 6.33 xGF/60 is a perfectly functional, roughly-league-average result, and the unit scored four real goals on 7.29 expected in his minutes, so it converted to plan rather than living on luck. The honest caveat: 69 minutes is a small sample, so the precise figure has wide error bars. Treat it as "competent second unit," not a precise ranking.

Why this matters more for San Jose than the number suggests#

The read

The key is that Utah never gave him the keys. He posted a functional 6.33 on the second unit in spot minutes despite carrying the third-hardest shot in the entire NHL (103.77 MPH) and a 92nd-percentile shot volume. That is a point-shot weapon sitting on PP2, under-deployed. The Sharks' power-play problem last year was diagnosed precisely as a missing point shot, the Klingberg-quarterback hole on a unit that already generated chances at 7-to-9 but could not convert. Kesselring is a credible answer to that, at minimum as a PP2 quarterback who can actually fire it through, and with genuine PP1 upside if the bounce-back lands and the staff points that cannon at the net. His distribution backs it too: he was sixth among all NHL defensemen in five-on-five primary assists, so the playmaking is real, not just the shot. Pair the Utah PP2 efficiency with the elite shot and the under-utilization, and the realistic projection in San Jose is an upgrade on the man advantage, not just at even strength.

Power-play splits from MoneyPuck 5-on-4 data, Kesselring 2024-25 (Utah): 69.1 PP minutes, 7.29 on-ice xGF, 4 on-ice goals, 6.33 xGF/60, 3 individual PP points (1 G, 2 primary assists), 0.88 individual PP xG. League/Sharks PP context per the value board and the power-play blueprint (Sharks unit 7-9 xGF/60, Toffoli 9.29). The 103.77 MPH shot (3rd in NHL, 99th percentile) per NHL Edge. Small-sample caveat noted; figures are descriptive of a limited second-unit role.

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OpenJul 28, 2026

Luca Cagnoni plays fewer than 42 regular-season games for the San Jose Sharks in 2026-27. Scored off his official NHL regular-season games-played total for San Jose only: 41 or fewer is a hit, 42 or more is a miss, including if he reaches 42 after being recalled from the Barracuda, and including if he is traded (games for another club do not count).

This is the runway argument reduced to one player's usage, which is the only part of it a stranger can score. Cagnoni is 21, has three career NHL games, put up 43 points in 67 AHL games, and is in the final season of his entry-level contract with restricted free agency arriving in July 2027. It is genuinely at risk in both directions rather than a formality: PuckPedia's own depth chart lists him second among San Jose's left-shot defensemen, ahead of Sam Dickinson, so the projection sitting in public is that he plays a lot. Against that, six defensemen are under contract, four of them hold 93.8 percent of the blue line's $30,373,750, and Cagnoni is waivers exempt while all four veterans are not, which makes him the cheapest body to move in an October crunch. An injury to Nurse, Trouba, Orlov or Kesselring is the most likely way this call loses, and that is the correct way for it to lose.