Giants

What Are The Odds

What the market actually thinks, priced in real money rather than argued about. Refreshed weekly.

Prices read from Kalshi on Nov 2, 2026

Win the World Series

Kalshi ↗

1.5%

2%1%0%

Oct 30, 2026Nov 2, 2026

Market 1.1% to 1.9%Vig-adjusted 1.2%Field priced at 122%22nd of 30 in the field19,909 contracts traded

If San Francisco wins the 2027 Pro Baseball Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these

A Kalshi contract pays $1 if it happens, so its price is the implied probability directly: 4 cents is a 4 percent chance. The headline figure is the midpoint of the live bid and ask, which is a price someone will actually trade at right now, not a last trade that may be days old.

Prices across a field sum to more than 100 percent, because that gap is the market's margin. Where exactly one entrant can win, the vig-adjusted number divides that margin out. Where several qualify, such as making the playoffs, the field is supposed to sum well above 100 percent and no adjustment is made.

This is published as information, not as a betting tip, and nothing here is advice.