49ers

What Are The Odds

What the market actually thinks, priced in real money rather than argued about. Refreshed weekly.

Prices read from Kalshi on Oct 19, 2026

Championship

Win the Super Bowl

Kalshi ↗
14%
+3.07 days+7.030 days
20%10%0%
Feb 9, 2026Oct 19, 2026
Market 14% to 15%Vig-adjusted 14%Field priced at 105%1st of 32 in the field10,770,830 contracts traded

If San Francisco wins the 2027 Pro Football Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Making the playoffs

Make the playoffs

Kalshi ↗
92%
+5.07 days+23.030 days
100%50%0%
Feb 16, 2026Oct 19, 2026
Market 92% to 93%14 of 32 qualify, so this book is not a 100% field and is left unadjusted1st of 32 in the field48,363 contracts traded

If San Francisco is one of the Pro Football playoff qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.

Division and conference

Win the NFC West

Kalshi ↗
74%
+21.07 days+41.030 days
100%50%0%
Feb 11, 2026Oct 19, 2026
Market 74% to 75%Vig-adjusted 76%Field priced at 98%1st of 4 in the field895,677 contracts traded

If San Francisco wins the Pro Football NFC West Division, then the market resolves to Yes.

Individual awards

Purdy wins MVP

Kalshi ↗
24%
-4.57 days+18.530 days
40%20%0%
Feb 10, 2026Oct 19, 2026
Market 23% to 24%Vig-adjusted 20%Field priced at 119%2nd of 49 in the field1,584,940 contracts traded

If Brock Purdy wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these

A Kalshi contract pays $1 if it happens, so its price is the implied probability directly: 4 cents is a 4 percent chance. The headline figure is the midpoint of the live bid and ask, which is a price someone will actually trade at right now, not a last trade that may be days old.

Prices across a field sum to more than 100 percent, because that gap is the market's margin. Where exactly one entrant can win, the vig-adjusted number divides that margin out. Where several qualify, such as making the playoffs, the field is supposed to sum well above 100 percent and no adjustment is made.

This is published as information, not as a betting tip, and nothing here is advice.