49ers
49ers

What Are The Odds

What the market actually thinks, priced in real money rather than argued about. Refreshed weekly.

Prices read from Kalshi on Jul 26, 2026

Win the Super Bowl

Kalshi ↗
4.5%
+0.07 days+0.030 days
10%5%0%
Feb 9, 2026Jul 26, 2026
Market 4.0% to 5.0%Vig-adjusted 4.3%Field priced at 104%6th of 32 in the field2,026,291 contracts traded

If San Francisco wins the 2027 Pro Football Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Make the playoffs

Kalshi ↗
60%
+0.07 days+0.030 days
100%50%0%
Feb 16, 2026Jul 26, 2026
Market 59% to 60%14 of 32 qualify, so this book is not a 100% field and is left unadjusted11th of 32 in the field3,479 contracts traded

If San Francisco is one of the Pro Football playoff qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these

A Kalshi contract pays $1 if it happens, so its price is the implied probability directly: 4 cents is a 4 percent chance. The headline figure is the midpoint of the live bid and ask, which is a price someone will actually trade at right now, not a last trade that may be days old.

Prices across a field sum to more than 100 percent, because that gap is the market's margin. Where exactly one entrant can win, the vig-adjusted number divides that margin out. Where several qualify, such as making the playoffs, the field is supposed to sum well above 100 percent and no adjustment is made.

This is published as information, not as a betting tip, and nothing here is advice.