The Record · USMNT

USMNT Called Shots

Every falsifiable call this site has made about the USMNT, with the full argument behind each one, dated the day it was made and graded when reality settles it. Nothing here gets quietly deleted. When these resolve they get marked held-up or missed, and they stay up either way.

1 call resolves in the next three weeks

Oct 7, 2026A center back other than Chris Richards, Miles Robinson and Auston Trusty starts at center back for the United S...USMNT

1 of these 1 calls carry a price, set by the writer on the day the call was made and shown on the card. None has resolved yet. Every call risks one unit: a hit pays by its own odds, a miss costs the unit whatever the price was, so a safe call that lands earns a fraction and a long one that lands pays for several. The net appears here once ten have graded. The 0 calls made before September 2, 2026 predate the price and are graded held up or missed only.

OpenSep 19, 2026USMNT

A center back other than Chris Richards, Miles Robinson and Auston Trusty starts at center back for the United States in at least one of the four fall friendlies (Peru 09-26, Chile 09-29, Mexico 10-03, Canada 10-06). Scored off the published starting elevens. Resolves yes if any other player is one of the starting central defenders in any of the four; resolves no if every central-defensive start across all four goes to those three.

Eli Guerrero

-150a hit pays 0.67 units, a miss costs 1.00

Resolves in 17 days, Oct 7, 2026

Filed with the Banks piece. Roster and match list from ussoccer.com, 2026-09-17. Ages and the carry-over from the March roster checked against the 2026-09-14 pool snapshot and Goal's 2026-03-17 March roster report.

The piece that made itBanks chose Germany. The U.S. lost a center back who plays every minute.